Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
Live
Yes
96.8 % chance
No
3.2 % chance
$1.7K
40
Trading opened Sep 22, 2026 18:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 4, 2026 23:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 96.8 %chance
- Yes 96.8¢ · No 3.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
11.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
97.5¢
Yes price now
86.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
58
Smart money
31
Top holders
- b…fNo796.8
- f…hYes507.1
- JA…M4No336
- fl…onYes734.8
- CD…esYes203.7
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