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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Live

Yes
9.0 % chance
No
91.0 % chance
$307.16
11

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Closest Senate Race? → all 40 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 9.0 %chance
  • Yes 9.0¢ · No 91.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
9.0¢
Yes price now
1.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • Pr…ieNo389.5
  • AnonymousYes909
  • Ha…thNo214.9
  • xt…meYes476.9
  • Lu…ysNo96.1

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Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank