Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas?
Live
Yes
1.3 % chance
No
98.7 % chance
$238.56
15
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.3 %chance
- Yes 1.3¢ · No 98.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.3¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
19
Smart money
12
Top holders
- a…zNo77.3
- pl…erNo60
- Re…ndNo16.7
- Ro…onNo16.7
- Gi…naNo12
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