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Politics · US electionsmidterm

Question

Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?

Live

Yes
73.5 % chance
No
26.5 % chance
$1.2K
28

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 14:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

AP calls the House by...? → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 73.5 %chance
  • Yes 73.5¢ · No 26.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

32.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
73.5¢
Yes price now
41.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
49
Smart money
20

Top holders

  • Fa…onNo340
  • Ai…rdNo336.6
  • Su…HRYes345
  • St…erNo127.5
  • xt…meYes167.6

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Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank