Politics · US electionsmidterm
Question
Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?
Live
Yes
73.5 % chance
No
26.5 % chance
$1.2K
28
Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 14:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 73.5 %chance
- Yes 73.5¢ · No 26.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
32.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
73.5¢
Yes price now
41.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
49
Smart money
20
Top holders
- Fa…onNo340
- Ai…rdNo336.6
- Su…HRYes345
- St…erNo127.5
- xt…meYes167.6
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