Politics · Middle EastOil
Question
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
1.9 % chance
No
98.1 % chance
$27.7K
12
Trading opened Sep 30, 2026 22:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? → all 3 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.9 %chance
- Yes 1.9¢ · No 98.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.9¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
6
Top holders
- s…tNo26,392
- Re…29Yes30,590
- ED…99No4,302
- Mr…llNo2,137
- Vo…ngNo1,296
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