Politics · Middle EastOilAvg. Bab el-Mandeb Strait
Question
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Live
Yes
22.0 % chance
No
78.0 % chance
$1.4K
25
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:02 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October? → all 5 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 22.0 %chance
- Yes 22.0¢ · No 78.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
27.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
22.0¢
Yes price now
5.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
30
Smart money
17
Top holders
- Re…ekNo521.2
- Sh…teYes657.3
- ka…haNo200
- Ar…lyYes200
- me…48Yes200
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