Pop CultureWeather & Science
Question
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Live
Yes
91.5 % chance
No
8.5 % chance
$7.3K
7
Trading opened Nov 12, 2025 22:45 UTC · Eligible for resolution Mar 2, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 91.5 %chance
- Yes 91.5¢ · No 8.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
41.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
91.5¢
Yes price now
49.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
4
Top holders
- ru…20Yes82,318
- ba…naYes30,772
- Ar…lyNo27,840
- fl…ceYes32,384
- S…3Yes25,252
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