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Politics · US electionsUnited States

Question

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Live · starts Nov 7 12:00 UTC

Yes
14.5 % chance
No
85.5 % chance
$28.0K
83

Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 18:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 14.5 %chance
  • Yes 14.5¢ · No 85.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

15.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
14.5¢
Yes price now
1.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
89
Smart money
22

Top holders

  • n…1Yes1,000,000
  • n…1No1,000,000
  • H…8Yes500,000
  • H…8No500,000
  • Vi…tzNo363,700

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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank