Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Live
- $31.4K
- $464.04M
- 204
- $10.03M
- $77.07M
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.9%
- Gavin Newsom16.4%
- Jon Ossoff15.0%
- Kamala Harris7.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
53 open · 75 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 17.9 %
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$982.01 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.9¢No 82.1¢ - 16.4 %
Gavin Newsom
$2.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 16.4¢No 83.6¢ - 15.0 %
Jon Ossoff
$644.55 traded, 24 h
Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢ - 7.1 %
Kamala Harris
$10.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 7.1¢No 92.9¢ - 5.7 %
Josh Shapiro
$5.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 5.7¢No 94.3¢ - 5.1 %
Pete Buttigieg
$2.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢ - 3.0 %
James Talarico
$294.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢ - 2.6 %
Andy Beshear
$63.36 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.6¢No 97.4¢ - 2.5 %
Mark Kelly
$42.30 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢ - 2.3 %
Bernie Sanders
$518.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢
- 2.1 %
Wes Moore
$86.09 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - 1.8 %
Rahm Emanuel
$98.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢ - 1.4 %
Raphael Warnock
$1.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 1.4¢No 98.6¢ - 1.3 %
Ro Khanna
$173.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.3¢No 98.7¢ - 1.3 %
J.B. Pritzker
$48.21 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.3¢No 98.7¢ - 1.1 %
Jon Stewart
$97.01 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - 1.0 %
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$63.89 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢ - < 1 %
Gretchen Whitmer
$156.67 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢ - < 1 %
Cory Booker
$2.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢ - < 1 %
Chelsea Clinton
$62.75 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢ - < 1 %
Hunter Biden
$253.51 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Mark Cuban
$7.83 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Chris Murphy
$5.63 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Michelle Obama
$232.71 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Roy Cooper
$15.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Gina Raimondo
$485.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Zohran Mamdani
$453.64 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Phil Murphy
$413.28 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Ruben Gallego
$383.11 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Chris Van Hollen
$314.44 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Jared Polis
$296.89 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Hillary Clinton
$189.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Stephen A. Smith
$122.19 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Mitch Landrieu
$108.37 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Jasmine Crockett
$77.71 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Barack Obama
$75.81 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Abigail Spanberger
$29.30 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Elissa Slotkin
$28.88 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Hakeem Jeffries
$26.66 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Josh Stein
$20.18 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
LeBron James
$1.70 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Andrew Yang
$88.91 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Graham Platner
$61.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
John Fetterman
$12.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Liz Cheney
$12.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Alex Padilla
$4.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Oprah Winfrey
$4.19 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
George Clooney
$3.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
MrBeast
$3.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Tim Walz
$2.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Adam Schiff
$1.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Beto O’Rourke
$1.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Kim Kardashian
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
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Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $25,000
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter v3
- Questions
- 53 open · 75 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 845
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 629,496 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This event has 128 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 06:01 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.