Politics · US electionsUnited States
Question
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live · starts Nov 7 12:00 UTC
Yes
7.9 % chance
No
92.1 % chance
$47.9K
80
Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 18:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 7.9 %chance
- Yes 7.9¢ · No 92.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
32.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.3¢
Yes price now
25.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
153
Tagged holders
43
Top holders
- a…oYes767,026
- a…oNo767,026
- wo…erNo588,688
- wo…erYes577,511
- NI…87Yes457,771
See who's really positioned here
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