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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Live · starts Jan 3 18:00 UTC

Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$462.81
7

Trading opened Mar 23, 2026 23:09 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Senate Majority Leader? → all 64 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.4 %chance
  • Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

26.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
25.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • R…5Yes1,163
  • pu…toYes690
  • ga…y-No517.6
  • ro…dkNo373.4
  • ra…esNo400

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Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank