Politics · Middle EastGeopolitics
Question
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
3.4 % chance
No
96.6 % chance
$5.2K
7
Trading opened Jun 22, 2026 16:36 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.4 %chance
- Yes 3.4¢ · No 96.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
16.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.4¢
Yes price now
12.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
6
Top holders
- de…zzNo12,855
- al…OnNo9,122
- M…PNo7,675
- ma…21Yes9,971
- Ke…toNo5,000
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