Politics · Global elections
Question
Will another party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Live · starts 13:18 UTC
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$186.28
5
Trading opened Apr 30, 2026 00:03 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
2.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
4
Top holders
- il…evNo100
- Lu…ysNo61.1
- Ad…stNo59
- Hi…eyNo42.8
- Fa…anNo40
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