Tech · Science
Question
Will November 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Live · started Nov 1 04:00 UTC
Yes
5.5 % chance
No
94.5 % chance
$1.5K
19
Trading opened Oct 30, 2026 14:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 29, 2026 05:00 UTC
November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 5.5 %chance
- Yes 5.5¢ · No 94.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.5¢
Yes price now
4.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
17
Top holders
- ba…arNo550
- Vi…axNo349.3
- gm…mgNo294.2
- Lu…ysNo112.5
- xt…meYes251.8
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