Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
Live
Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$1.4K
22
Trading opened Sep 22, 2026 18:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 4, 2026 23:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.1 %chance
- Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
29.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.3¢
Yes price now
27.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
40
Smart money
18
Top holders
- ra…woYes1,421
- Ar…n2Yes522.5
- Fa…anNo248.3
- A…VNo281.9
- Ar…lyNo236
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