Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?
Live
Yes
0.2 % chance
No
99.8 % chance
$123.72
10
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.2 %chance
- Yes 0.2¢ · No 99.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.2¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
5
Top holders
- a…zNo59
- pl…erNo30
- Ru…gaNo16.7
- Ho…ssNo16.7
- xt…meYes70
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