Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
Live
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$164.65
10
Trading opened Sep 22, 2026 18:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 4, 2026 23:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
6.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
9
Top holders
- ra…07No2,057
- Pa…atNo752
- Ha…thYes780.6
- AnonymousYes613.8
- St…SDYes450
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