Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Live
Yes
1.4 % chance
No
98.6 % chance
$114.66
7
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.4 %chance
- Yes 1.4¢ · No 98.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.4¢
Yes price now
0.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
5
Top holders
- a…zNo21.7
- Sm…meNo16.7
- xt…meYes70
- 0x…06Yes23.1
- .M…heYes50
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