Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?
Live
Yes
1.6 % chance
No
98.4 % chance
$198.58
12
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.6 %chance
- Yes 1.6¢ · No 98.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.6¢
Yes price now
0.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
10
Top holders
- a…zNo66.6
- pl…erNo30
- Ch…orNo16.7
- Me…elNo16.7
- ba…hrYes79.3
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