Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?
Live · started Nov 7 22:40 UTC
Yes
63.5 % chance
No
36.5 % chance
$4.7K
38
Trading opened Nov 8, 2026 02:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 30, 2026 20:29 UTC
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) → all 5 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 63.5 %chance
- Yes 63.5¢ · No 36.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
65.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
63.5¢
Yes price now
1.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
65
Tagged holders
34
Top holders
- li…erYes431.1
- m…sYes257.2
- Ai…rdNo270.7
- Bl…ndNo243.5
- en…ioNo200
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