Politics · Economy & the FedFed
Question
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?
Live
Yes
7.5 % chance
No
92.5 % chance
$120.12
5
Trading opened Sep 17, 2026 15:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 7.5 %chance
- Yes 7.5¢ · No 92.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
18.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.5¢
Yes price now
10.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
4
Top holders
- sm…ieNo1,355
- Al…sVNo860.9
- gr…inNo334.8
- Th…meYes761.6
- si…anYes334.5
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