Politics · Middle EastOilAvg. Bab el-Mandeb Strait
Question
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Live
Yes
43.0 % chance
No
57.0 % chance
$727.08
17
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:02 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October? → all 5 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 43.0 %chance
- Yes 43.0¢ · No 57.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
43.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
43.0¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
22
Smart money
14
Top holders
- Re…ekNo2,020
- Sh…teYes657.3
- ne…loYes480
- bu…46Yes304.3
- Wa…rHYes225.1
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