Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 35%-40%?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$40.13
4
Trading opened Aug 10, 2026 16:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
10.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Tagged holders
1
Top holders
- f…aYes328.1
- ba…arNo96.9
- gr…19No95
- pl…erNo85
- Ju…reNo47
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