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Politicshouse

Question

245-249 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?

Live

Yes
12.5 % chance
No
87.5 % chance
$433.19
16

Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 01:02 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 4, 2027 04:59 UTC

How many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 12.5 %chance
  • Yes 12.5¢ · No 87.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.5¢
Yes price now
1.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
20
Smart money
13

Top holders

  • l…bNo137
  • qu…elNo75
  • mu…erNo45
  • xt…meYes102.8
  • sm…ptNo40

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245-249 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank