Politics · US electionsmidterm
Question
Will AP call US House control by November 5, 11:59 PM?
Live
Yes
98.7 % chance
No
1.3 % chance
$2.6K
34
Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 14:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 6, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 98.7 %chance
- Yes 98.7¢ · No 1.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
80.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
98.7¢
Yes price now
17.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
44
Smart money
29
Top holders
- an…29Yes1,435
- be…inYes1,275
- 42…esNo1,441
- No…ulNo1,029
- Th…meYes497.4
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