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Pop Culture · MoviesAwards

Question

Will Aaron Sorkin win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

Live

Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$276.84
6

Trading opened Aug 6, 2026 19:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner → all 41 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.1 %chance
  • Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • go…94No198
  • pl…erNo45
  • T…aNo40
  • mi…27No40
  • Gi…naNo20

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Will Aaron Sorkin win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank