Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas?
Live
Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$353.31
20
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.1 %chance
- Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
3.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
33
Smart money
18
Top holders
- An…meNo121
- xt…meYes336.4
- a…zNo77.3
- Vi…axNo60
- ri…eeNo50
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