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Politics · Global elections

Question

Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Live · starts 12:34 UTC

Yes
0.8 % chance
No
99.2 % chance
$1.0K
22

Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:55 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.8 %chance
  • Yes 0.8¢ · No 99.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

19.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.8¢
Yes price now
18.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
33
Smart money
20

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo220
  • me…48No209.7
  • xi…ngYes345
  • Lu…ysNo154.8
  • Cl…iaNo146.6

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Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank