Smart-Money Report — Week 24, 2026
June 8 – June 14, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$863.4M
Volume traded
15,997,428
Fills
291,172
Active wallets
81,783
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- Po…it+$845.4K profit
Spurs vs. Knicks — banked $999.7K on NO
- Po…it+$364.2K profit
Knicks vs. Spurs — banked $700.6K on YES
- 0x36…fe+$84.4K profit
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) — banked $351.6K on NO
- 0x36…fe+$33.7K profit
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 — banked $218.0K on YES
- 0x36…fe+$27.0K profit
Spread: Australia (-1.5) — banked $31.7K on YES
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the profitable-calibrators board this week — 4,823 trades, $5.7K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Skilled money vs the crowd
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 15?
skilled cohort 6% YES vs market 100% · 63 skilled positioners
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?
skilled cohort 8% YES vs market 100% · 142 skilled positioners
- Rainbow Six Siege: Shaiikademy vs ENTERPRISE Esports (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Group Stage
skilled cohort 10% YES vs market 100% · 6 skilled positioners
Divergence measured at publication time. Not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | c…k | 98.1 | $1.6K | $56.3K |
| 2 | g…3 | 96.9 | $1.7K | $71.3K |
| 3 | p…9 | 96.7 | $3.3K | $48.7K |
| 4 | S…1 | 96.3 | $3.3K | $45.2K |
| 5 | Q…N | 95.9 | $4.9K | $574.7K |
| 6 | o…r | 95.4 | $57.5K | $2.4M |
| 7 | C…1 | 95.4 | $31.9K | $390.8K |
| 8 | l…o | 95.4 | $16.3K | $456.1K |
| 9 | P…o | 95.3 | $9.9K | $3.0M |
| 10 | y…e | 95.2 | $3.6K | $27.1K |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.