Smart-Money Report — Week 32, 2026
August 3 – August 9, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$476.5M
Volume traded
11,457,947
Fills
138,259
Active wallets
171,844
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- Si…s-+$12.4K profit
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner — banked $28.4K on YES
- Si…s-+$7.8K profit
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner — banked $15.7K on YES
- Si…s-+$7.8K profit
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner — banked $19.6K on NO
- Si…s-+$7.1K profit
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs — banked $13.3K on YES
- Si…s-+$7.1K profit
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner — banked $11.7K on YES
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
- la…tznew at #18
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the profitable-calibrators board this week — 30,083 trades, $280.0K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Skilled money vs the crowd
- Will Brennan O'Neill win the 2026 PLL MVP award?
skilled cohort 98% YES vs market 0% · 6 skilled positioners
- Will Rodri join Barcelona?
skilled cohort 6% YES vs market 91% · 58 skilled positioners
- Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
skilled cohort 28% YES vs market 99% · 33 skilled positioners
Divergence measured at publication time. Not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hu…ly | 99.8 | $72.4K | $3.5M |
| 2 | 0x32…79 | 99.7 | $38.5K | $1.8M |
| 3 | Lu…ow | 99.7 | $318.3K | $13.6M |
| 4 | c…s | 99.7 | $14.4K | $1.2M |
| 5 | Hi…on | 99.7 | $62.1K | $1.3M |
| 6 | Pu…ol | 99.6 | $7.2K | $263.6K |
| 7 | We…en | 99.5 | $42.7K | $1.6M |
| 8 | Ve…ix | 99.4 | $5.4K | $913.8K |
| 9 | sy…ey | 99.4 | $13.1K | $109.5K |
| 10 | kt…03 | 99.4 | $18.0K | $682.8K |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.