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Highest ROI Politics trades on Polymarket

The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.

Top trade
go…n2 made $4.8K on $587.66 of gross traded notional
8.1× ROI
Resolved within
#TraderMarketEntryNotionalProfitROIResolved
1go…n2Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Politics · Global elections11.0¢$587.66+$4.8K8.1×Mar 25, 2026
2Za…deUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Politics · Middle East11.0¢$550.00+$4.5K8.1×Feb 28, 2026
3as…88US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Politics · Middle East11.0¢$660.00+$5.3K8.1×Aug 30, 2026
40x…98US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East11.0¢$989.52+$8.0K8.1×Feb 28, 2026
558…2wUS strike on Syria by December 31?Politics · Middle East11.0¢$585.25+$4.7K8.1×Dec 20, 2025
6Ce…ngMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics11.0¢$600.00+$4.9K8.1×Jan 3, 2026
70x…56US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.9¢$562.95+$4.6K8.2×Feb 28, 2026
80x…88US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.8¢$60.8K+$499.9K8.2×Feb 28, 2026
9G…tUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics · Middle East10.8¢$5.1K+$41.9K8.2×Jun 15, 2026
100x…11Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Middle East10.7¢$662.00+$5.5K8.3×Mar 4, 2026
11sl…t-Will the government shutdown end November 12?Politics10.7¢$8.1K+$67.6K8.4×Nov 13, 2025
12Ag…ryWill Trump say "Soleimani" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?Politics · Trump10.6¢$4.2K+$35.2K8.4×Mar 2, 2026
13Fl…iaWill Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics · Global elections10.6¢$11.6K+$98.5K8.5×Aug 14, 2026
14Bo…chWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?Politics · US elections10.5¢$13.0K+$110.5K8.5×Dec 4, 2025
15or…yzWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections10.4¢$10.6K+$91.3K8.6×May 4, 2026
16Ve…stWill Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Politics · Global elections10.2¢$650.62+$5.6K8.7×Aug 14, 2026
17Th…kyWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?Politics · Ukraine & Russia4.6¢$664.95+$5.8K8.7×Nov 16, 2025
18TH…64Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia3.5¢$969.84+$8.5K8.7×May 9, 2026
19Go…21Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Politics · Middle East10.2¢$999.52+$8.8K8.8×May 26, 2026
20Gi…ngWill the government shutdown end November 12?Politics9.0¢$9.0K+$78.9K8.8×Nov 13, 2025
21Ke…toWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics · US elections10.2¢$2.3K+$20.2K8.8×May 27, 2026
220x…14Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections10.2¢$780.35+$6.9K8.8×May 4, 2026
230x…29US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Middle East10.1¢$662.89+$5.9K8.9×Apr 8, 2026
24te…seWill Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Politics · Trump10.0¢$1.4K+$12.8K9.0×Nov 20, 2025
250xa8…6cUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.0¢$2.8K+$25.3K9.0×Feb 28, 2026
26Ho…stMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics10.0¢$1.9K+$17.1K9.0×Jan 3, 2026
27w…oWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics · Global elections10.0¢$614.50+$5.5K9.0×Jun 4, 2026
28Ro…etUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Middle East10.0¢$500.00+$4.5K9.0×Apr 8, 2026
29Ne…bsUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.0¢$9.9K+$89.0K9.0×Feb 28, 2026
300x…00US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.0¢$1000.00+$9.0K9.0×Feb 28, 2026
31zd…arWill Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Politics10.0¢$988.80+$8.9K9.0×Feb 4, 2026
32Ke…toWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Politics · US elections10.0¢$873.56+$7.9K9.0×May 27, 2026
33Ra…olWill the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Politics · Global elections10.0¢$5.0K+$45.0K9.0×Sep 7, 2026
340x…36Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.8¢$1.9K+$17.1K9.2×Jan 3, 2026
35gi…laWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Politics · Trump9.7¢$537.32+$5.0K9.3×Apr 30, 2026
360x…86US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Politics · Middle East9.4¢$2.5K+$24.0K9.6×Nov 3, 2026
37hu…lkUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?Politics · Middle East6.3¢$884.69+$8.5K9.6×Nov 3, 2026
38Ri…usWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics · Trump9.4¢$1.0K+$10.0K9.7×Dec 23, 2025
390x07…feWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections9.3¢$926.23+$9.0K9.7×May 4, 2026
400x…82Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.2¢$928.33+$9.2K9.9×Jan 3, 2026
410x…07US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.2¢$1.7K+$16.3K9.9×Feb 28, 2026
42G…tUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics · Middle East9.2¢$666.14+$6.6K9.9×Apr 1, 2026
430x…05Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections9.2¢$755.60+$7.5K9.9×May 4, 2026
44Po…orWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections9.1¢$7.7K+$76.9K10.0×May 4, 2026
450x7b…fdMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.1¢$924.79+$9.3K10.0×Jan 3, 2026
46te…itMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.0¢$1.6K+$15.7K10.1×Jan 3, 2026
470x…45US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.0¢$900.00+$9.1K10.1×Feb 28, 2026
48dl…c2US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.0¢$720.00+$7.3K10.1×Feb 28, 2026
490x5e…9eUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.0¢$900.00+$9.1K10.1×Feb 28, 2026
50sp…ngMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.0¢$774.26+$7.8K10.1×Jan 3, 2026
51W3…9sMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.0¢$790.67+$8.0K10.1×Jan 3, 2026
52Ra…llUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.7¢$1.4K+$15.2K10.5×Feb 28, 2026
53fo…rkWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections8.6¢$1000.00+$10.6K10.6×May 4, 2026
54sc…oyWill the government shutdown end November 12?Politics5.9¢$635.69+$6.8K10.7×Nov 13, 2025
550x…27Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics · Middle East8.5¢$543.00+$5.9K10.8×May 26, 2026
56un…icWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Politics · Trump8.3¢$521.08+$5.8K11.1×Apr 30, 2026
570x…43Will the government shutdown end November 12?Politics8.3¢$1.1K+$12.2K11.1×Nov 13, 2025
58lu…rzUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.2¢$2.5K+$28.0K11.2×Feb 28, 2026
5915…d6Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.2¢$2.8K+$31.2K11.2×Jan 3, 2026
600xd1…feWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections8.1¢$634.66+$7.2K11.4×May 4, 2026
610x…05Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.1¢$951.97+$10.9K11.4×Jan 3, 2026
62so…a1Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.0¢$1.6K+$18.4K11.5×Feb 28, 2026
630x…28US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.0¢$888.88+$10.2K11.5×Feb 28, 2026
64Th…99Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.0¢$818.25+$9.4K11.5×Jan 3, 2026
65M…PWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics · Middle East3.5¢$880.85+$10.1K11.5×May 26, 2026
660x…84Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.0¢$2.0K+$22.7K11.5×Jan 3, 2026
67s…fRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia7.8¢$22.4K+$264.0K11.8×May 9, 2026
68Me…owIran strike on US military by February 28?Politics · Middle East7.7¢$500.00+$6.0K12.0×Mar 1, 2026
69Bi…inKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Middle East7.7¢$1.0K+$12.0K12.0×Mar 4, 2026
700x…12Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics7.6¢$740.07+$9.0K12.2×Jan 3, 2026
710x…32US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East6.1¢$562.81+$6.9K12.3×Feb 28, 2026
72P…DRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia7.5¢$1.1K+$13.4K12.3×May 9, 2026
730x…84Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics7.4¢$32.5K+$404.2K12.4×Jan 3, 2026
7471…20US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics · Middle East7.4¢$520.00+$6.5K12.5×Nov 1, 2026
75ni…erRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia7.4¢$10.1K+$126.2K12.5×May 9, 2026
76A…kWill the government shutdown end November 12?Politics3.4¢$883.40+$11.3K12.8×Nov 13, 2025
77se…viKatie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Politics · Trump7.2¢$500.00+$6.5K12.9×Oct 16, 2026
780x…87Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics7.2¢$5.8K+$75.0K13.0×Jan 3, 2026
79ZT…erWill the government shutdown end November 13?Politics7.1¢$520.00+$6.8K13.1×Nov 13, 2025
80BI…01US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Politics · Middle East7.0¢$500.00+$6.6K13.3×Nov 3, 2026
81Fr…oxMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics7.0¢$779.68+$10.4K13.3×Jan 3, 2026
82s…fUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Middle East6.9¢$7.6K+$102.1K13.4×Apr 11, 2026
83do…ceWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections6.6¢$1.2K+$16.2K13.6×Aug 12, 2026
84pa…99US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Politics · Middle East6.8¢$1.5K+$20.7K13.8×Nov 3, 2026
85as…avUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East6.3¢$783.64+$11.6K14.8×Jun 18, 2026
860x…06Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections6.3¢$1.5K+$22.8K14.8×May 4, 2026
87Cr…teWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections6.3¢$801.70+$11.9K14.8×Aug 12, 2026
88fi…atRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia6.3¢$2.0K+$29.8K14.9×May 9, 2026
89Ba…esUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Middle East6.3¢$650.00+$9.7K15.0×Apr 8, 2026
90fo…erUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East6.1¢$8.1K+$124.6K15.4×Jun 18, 2026
91Zo…gaWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?Politics · Trump6.1¢$570.48+$8.8K15.4×Jun 30, 2026
92KU…AOUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East6.0¢$6.0K+$94.0K15.7×Feb 28, 2026
93D6…63Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics6.0¢$861.52+$13.5K15.7×Jan 3, 2026
94Sn…r7Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Politics · US elections6.0¢$538.72+$8.4K15.7×May 13, 2026
95ko…daUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics · Middle East5.9¢$732.00+$11.8K16.1×Aug 30, 2026
96Un…lyUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East5.8¢$695.77+$11.2K16.1×Jun 18, 2026
970xcb…fbWill David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections5.8¢$620.15+$10.1K16.2×Aug 12, 2026
98tj…psWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Politics · Economy & the Fed5.1¢$629.64+$10.4K16.5×Jan 30, 2026
99Mo…eyUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East5.7¢$850.00+$14.2K16.6×Jun 18, 2026
100re…afUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Middle East5.3¢$1.1K+$18.9K17.9×Apr 11, 2026

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ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.