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Highest ROI Trump trades on Polymarket

The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.

Top trade
Ag…ry made $35.2K on $4.2K of gross traded notional
8.4× ROI
AllSportsEsportsCryptoTennisPoliticsWeatherPop CultureFinanceTechWorldStocksMentions
Sub-category
AllGlobal electionsUS electionsTrumpMiddle EastGeopoliticsEconomy & the FedUkraine & RussiaUS politics
Resolved within
All time7d30d90d1y
#TraderMarketEntryNotionalProfitROIResolved
1Ag…ryWill Trump say "Soleimani" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?Politics · Trump10.6¢$4.2K+$35.2K8.4×Mar 2, 2026
2Ki…d7Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Politics · Trump3.7¢$1.9K+$17.1K8.9×Feb 20, 2025
3te…seWill Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Politics · Trump10.0¢$1.4K+$12.8K9.0×Nov 20, 2025
4gi…laWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Politics · Trump9.7¢$537.32+$5.0K9.3×Apr 30, 2026
5Ri…usWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics · Trump9.4¢$1.0K+$10.0K9.7×Dec 23, 2025
6Ea…ggWill Steve Bannon be in the Epstein Files?Politics · Trump9.3¢$511.40+$5.0K9.7×Aug 26, 2025
7mr…ziWill Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?Politics · Trump8.5¢$593.84+$6.4K10.8×Sep 28, 2024
8un…icWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Politics · Trump8.3¢$521.08+$5.8K11.1×Apr 30, 2026
9Wo…rkWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?Politics · Trump8.2¢$907.90+$10.1K11.2×Jul 1, 2025
10m…mWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh for Treasury Secretary?Politics · Trump8.0¢$503.61+$5.8K11.5×Nov 23, 2024
11se…viKatie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Politics · Trump7.2¢$500.00+$6.5K12.9×Oct 16, 2026
12Zo…gaWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?Politics · Trump6.1¢$570.48+$8.8K15.4×Jun 30, 2026
13Ov…elElise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?Politics · Trump1.6¢$915.72+$42.7K46.6×Mar 28, 2025

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ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.