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Highest ROI US elections trades on Polymarket

The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.

Top trade
Bo…ch made $110.5K on $13.0K of gross traded notional
8.5× ROI
AllSportsEsportsCryptoTennisPoliticsWeatherPop CultureFinanceTechWorldStocksMentions
Sub-category
AllGlobal electionsUS electionsTrumpMiddle EastGeopoliticsEconomy & the FedUkraine & RussiaUS politics
Resolved within
All time7d30d90d1y
#TraderMarketEntryNotionalProfitROIResolved
1Bo…chWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?Politics · US elections10.5¢$13.0K+$110.5K8.5×Dec 4, 2025
2Ke…toWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics · US elections10.2¢$2.3K+$20.2K8.8×May 27, 2026
3Ke…toWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Politics · US elections10.0¢$873.56+$7.9K9.0×May 27, 2026
4Tr…UmGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Politics · US elections9.6¢$731.95+$6.9K9.4×Dec 18, 2024
5Bo…chWill Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?Politics · US elections9.4¢$570.72+$5.5K9.6×Nov 22, 2024
6Pa…ntGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Politics · US elections9.3¢$2.5K+$24.5K9.8×Dec 18, 2024
7pa…wnWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · US elections8.4¢$1.9K+$21.0K10.9×Jul 16, 2024
8co…21GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Politics · US elections8.2¢$2.8K+$31.8K11.2×Dec 18, 2024
9K…kWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · US elections7.8¢$2.3K+$27.7K11.8×Jul 16, 2024
10ze…rtGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Politics · US elections7.7¢$19.8K+$237.0K12.0×Dec 18, 2024
11h…iWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · US elections6.9¢$5.0K+$67.5K13.4×Jul 16, 2024
12do…ceWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections6.6¢$1.2K+$16.2K13.6×Aug 12, 2026
13ma…ksWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Politics · US elections6.5¢$689.57+$10.0K14.4×Jun 28, 2025
14Cr…teWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections6.3¢$801.70+$11.9K14.8×Aug 12, 2026
15Sn…r7Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Politics · US elections6.0¢$538.72+$8.4K15.7×May 13, 2026
16bi…69Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · US elections5.9¢$1.0K+$16.5K16.0×Jul 16, 2024
170xcb…fbWill David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections5.8¢$620.15+$10.1K16.2×Aug 12, 2026
180xcb…fbWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections5.2¢$816.31+$14.8K18.2×Aug 12, 2026

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ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.