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Highest ROI Middle East trades on Polymarket

The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.

Top trade
S…O made $6.3K on $710.03 of gross traded notional
8.9× ROI
AllSportsEsportsCryptoTennisPoliticsWeatherPop CultureFinanceTechWorldStocksMentions
Sub-category
AllGlobal electionsMiddle EastUkraine & RussiaEconomy & the FedGeopoliticsTrumpUS electionsUS politics
Resolved within
All time7d30d90d1y
#TraderMarketEntryNotionalProfitROIResolved
1S…OIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?World · Middle East10.1¢$710.03+$6.3K8.9×Oct 26, 2024
2so…a1Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?World · Middle East10.0¢$2.0K+$18.0K9.0×Feb 28, 2026
3W…!Israel military action against Iran by Friday?World · Middle East9.7¢$1.4K+$13.3K9.3×Apr 19, 2024
4th…19Israel military response against Iran by Friday?World · Middle East9.7¢$753.86+$7.0K9.3×Oct 26, 2024
5ka…ssWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?World · Middle East9.5¢$5.5K+$52.0K9.5×Feb 28, 2026
6Ma…anWill Israel strike Iran on Friday Oct 25?World · Middle East8.8¢$760.44+$7.8K10.3×Oct 26, 2024
7Up…wnIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?World · Middle East8.4¢$3.0K+$32.1K10.6×Oct 9, 2025
80x…37Israel military response against Iran by Friday?World · Middle East8.5¢$800.00+$8.6K10.8×Oct 26, 2024
90x1e…d2Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?World · Middle East8.1¢$709.66+$8.1K11.4×Mar 4, 2026
10Ca…99Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?World · Middle East5.0¢$6.2K+$95.0K15.4×Mar 4, 2026
11Ge…orWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?World · Middle East6.1¢$1.2K+$18.6K15.5×Mar 4, 2026
12z…nWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?World · Middle East5.8¢$600.00+$9.7K16.2×Mar 4, 2026
13fl…llWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?World · Middle East4.6¢$3.7K+$75.8K20.6×Mar 4, 2026

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ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.