Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Live
- $9.9K
- $402.8K
- 44
- $126.2K
- $1.04M
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Javier Milei53.5%
- Axel Kicillof31.0%
- Sergio Massa12.6%
- Patricia Bullrich2.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
19 open · 45 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 53.5 %
Javier Milei
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢ - 31.0 %
Axel Kicillof
$594.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 31.0¢No 69.0¢ - 12.6 %
Sergio Massa
$2.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 12.6¢No 87.4¢ - 2.0 %
Patricia Bullrich
$587.49 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢ - 1.5 %
Dante Gebel
$612.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢ - 1.1 %
Myriam Bregman
$574.89 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - 1.1 %
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner
$576.89 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - < 1 %
Victoria Villarruel
$406.82 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢ - < 1 %
Juan Grabois
$377.27 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Juan Schiaretti
$407.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢
- < 1 %
Facundo Manes
$377.43 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Mauricio Macri
$378.43 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Esteban Bullrich
$377.43 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Máximo Kirchner
$377.33 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Daniel Hadad
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Guillermo Moreno
$365.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Karina Milei
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nicolás del Caño
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
45 more that never traded
- No quote now
Alberto Fernández
- No quote now
Other
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Person Z
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 19 open · 45 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 169
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 17,987 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
This event has 64 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 25, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 15, 2026 18:56 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.