Bitcoin above ___ on November 20?
Live
- $4.9K
- $4.9K
- 8
- $6.2K
- $317.7K
Where holders with a record are, by question
as of 01:20 UTC1 wallet with a positive Crypto record holds $50 or more on this event.
- 60,00098.0¢Yes noneNo none
- 62,00094.5¢Yes noneNo none
- 70,00031.0¢Yes 1 · $120 · paid 35.0¢No none
- 68,00053.5¢Yes noneNo none
- 66,00074.5¢Yes noneNo none
- 78,0002.2¢Yes noneNo none
Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Crypto record beat the price paid by 1.98¢ a share (others +1.06¢; 7.17M positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,572 markets). How we measured
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 58,00098.8%
- 60,00098.0%
- 62,00094.5%
- 64,00088.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 98.8 %
58,000
Yes 98.8¢No 1.2¢ - 98.0 %
60,000
$3.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢ - 94.5 %
62,000
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢ - 88.5 %
64,000
Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢ - 74.5 %
66,000
$44.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 74.5¢No 25.5¢ - 53.5 %
68,000
$59.04 traded, 24 h
Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢ - 31.0 %
70,000
$222.30 traded, 24 h
Yes 31.0¢No 69.0¢ - 15.0 %
72,000
$10.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢ - 6.0 %
74,000
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 3.3 %
76,000
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢
Event facts
- Category
- Crypto · Bitcoin
- Series
- BTC Multi Strikes Weekly · weekly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 7% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 20% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 10 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 36
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 6,166 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against binance.com. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 20, 2026 17:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 14, 2026 01:20 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.