Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
Live
- $18.2K
- $120.7K
- 23
- $26.4K
- $62.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- No IPO by December 31, 202794.2%
- 17–20B0.9%
- <5B0.5%
- 20B+0.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
8 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 8 open questions add up to 97.6¢.
- 94.2 %
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$10.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 94.2¢No 5.8¢ - < 1 %
17–20B
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢ - < 1 %
20B+
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
<5B
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
14–17B
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
8–11B
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
11–14B
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
5–8B
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
Event facts
- Category
- Tech
- Series
- Discord IPO Market Cap
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 8 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 198
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 24,436 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
This event has 8 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 10, 2026 10:11 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.