Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 13 - November 20, 2026?
Live
- $4.6K
- $11.6K
- 45
- $6.5K
- $16.8K
Where holders with a record are, by question
as of 02:15 UTC9 wallets with a positive Politics record hold $50 or more on this event.
- 200+5.5¢Yes 1 · $51 · paid 10.0¢No 3 · $1.4K · paid 89.5¢
- 60-7916.1¢Yes noneNo 4 · $315 · paid 90.0¢
- 120-13913.5¢Yes noneNo 2 · $130 · paid 90.2¢
- 80-9918.5¢Yes noneNo 2 · $218 · paid 85.0¢
- 40-5920.0¢Yes noneNo 4 · $491 · paid 90.8¢
- 100-11917.5¢Yes noneNo 2 · $260 · paid 82.0¢
Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Politics record beat the price paid by 1.36¢ a share (others −0.23¢; 74,448 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (3,821 markets). How we measured
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 40-5920.0%
- 80-9918.5%
- 100-11917.5%
- 60-7916.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 11 open questions add up to 111.6¢.
- 20.0 %
40-59
$511.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢ - 18.5 %
80-99
$574.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢ - 17.5 %
100-119
$448.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢ - 16.1 %
60-79
$669.11 traded, 24 h
Yes 16.1¢No 83.9¢ - 13.5 %
120-139
$644.58 traded, 24 h
Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢ - 5.8 %
180-199
$193.89 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.8¢No 94.2¢ - 5.5 %
200+
$897.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.5 %
160-179
$199.41 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 4.5 %
140-159
$116.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 3.8 %
20-39
$180.67 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Series
- Trump Truth Social · daily
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 244
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 10,656 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between November 13, 12:00 PM ET and November 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This event has 11 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against truthsocial.com. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 20, 2026 17:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 14, 2026 02:29 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.