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Tech · AI

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

Live

$12.0K
$492.3K
86
$182.1K
$101.6K

Where holders with a record are, by question

as of 01:24 UTC

58 wallets with a positive Tech record hold $50 or more on this event.

  • November 3091.9¢
    Yes 7 · $2.2K · paid 82.8¢No 10 · $2.6K · paid 14.4¢
  • November 151.4¢
    Yes 23 · $4.5K · paid 51.8¢No 9 · $5.2K · paid 70.7¢
  • November 130.7¢
    Yes 8 · $1.5K · paid 53.5¢No 7 · $3.0K · paid 78.4¢
  • December 3198.6¢
    Yes 9 · $4.0K · paid 91.0¢No 8 · $3.1K · paid 9.2¢
  • December 1597.0¢
    Yes 4 · $1.2K · paid 77.2¢No 1 · $157 · paid 22.1¢

The 58 by name, each with its record, with a free account.

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where holders with a record are, by question

as of 01:24 UTC

58 wallets with a positive Tech record hold $50 or more on this event.

  • November 3091.9¢
    Yes 7 · $2.2K · paid 82.8¢No 10 · $2.6K · paid 14.4¢
  • November 151.4¢
    Yes 23 · $4.5K · paid 51.8¢No 9 · $5.2K · paid 70.7¢
  • November 130.7¢
    Yes 8 · $1.5K · paid 53.5¢No 7 · $3.0K · paid 78.4¢
  • December 3198.6¢
    Yes 9 · $4.0K · paid 91.0¢No 8 · $3.1K · paid 9.2¢
  • December 1597.0¢
    Yes 4 · $1.2K · paid 77.2¢No 1 · $157 · paid 22.1¢
The holders
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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • December 3198.6%
  • December 1597.0%
  • November 3091.9%
  • November 151.4%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Event facts

Category
Tech · AI
Structure
Each question settles on its own; several can win
Fee
Varies by question
Resolution terms
Varies by question
Questions
5 open · 10 settled
Fills, last 24 h
183
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
55,856 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

Who is trading this event

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This event has 15 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

10 of the 15 have already settled No.

It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Nov 14, 2026 01:24 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.