Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Live
- $4.8K
- $9.73M
- 21
- $321.7K
- $2.37M
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day95.0%
- Avengers: Doomsday3.8%
- Dune: Messiah0.1%
- Jumanji 30.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
14 open · 14 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 95.0 %
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$4.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢ - 3.8 %
Avengers: Doomsday
$210.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢ - < 1 %
Dune: Messiah
$21.41 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
The Odyssey
$1.02 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Jumanji 3
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Michael
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Project Hail Mary
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Scream 7
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
14 more that never traded
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Movies
- Series
- Highest Grossing Movie · annual
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 14 open · 14 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 29
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 9,283 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This event has 28 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 8, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 15, 2026 03:58 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.