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Weather · Hong KongHong Kong Daily Weather

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14?

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$9.8K
$12.8K
188
$11.7K
$19.6K

Where holders with a record are, by question

as of 01:22 UTC

17 wallets with a positive Weather record hold $50 or more on this event.

  • 24°C4.4¢
    Yes noneNo 2 · $397 · paid 95.4¢
  • 25°C21.0¢
    Yes 2 · $261 · paid 21.9¢No 4 · $830 · paid 80.3¢
  • 28°C3.5¢
    Yes noneNo 5 · $788 · paid 91.6¢
  • 26°C47.0¢
    Yes 4 · $603 · paid 45.2¢No 4 · $842 · paid 55.4¢
  • 27°C24.0¢
    Yes 1 · $57 · paid 44.0¢No 2 · $423 · paid 67.2¢
  • 23°C0.1¢
    Yes noneNo 1 · $315 · paid 99.0¢

The 17 by name, each with its record, with a free account.

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where holders with a record are, by question

as of 01:22 UTC

17 wallets with a positive Weather record hold $50 or more on this event.

  • 24°C4.4¢
    Yes noneNo 2 · $397 · paid 95.4¢
  • 25°C21.0¢
    Yes 2 · $261 · paid 21.9¢No 4 · $830 · paid 80.3¢
  • 28°C3.5¢
    Yes noneNo 5 · $788 · paid 91.6¢
  • 26°C47.0¢
    Yes 4 · $603 · paid 45.2¢No 4 · $842 · paid 55.4¢
  • 27°C24.0¢
    Yes 1 · $57 · paid 44.0¢No 2 · $423 · paid 67.2¢
  • 23°C0.1¢
    Yes noneNo 1 · $315 · paid 99.0¢
The holders
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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • 26°C47.0%
  • 27°C24.0%
  • 25°C21.0%
  • 24°C4.4%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Event facts

Category
Weather · Hong Kong
Series
Hong Kong Daily Weather · daily
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
UMA bond
$250
Dispute window
15 minutes
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
11 open
Fills, last 24 h
461
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
16,513 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

Who is trading this event

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Nov '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

This event has 11 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Nov 14, 2026 01:23 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.