How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
Live
- $5.9K
- $119.7K
- 41
- $24.7K
- $50.1K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 12-1583.2%
- 16-1914.3%
- 20-230.9%
- <120.7%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
7 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 7 open questions add up to 99.4¢.
- 83.2 %
12-15
$2.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 83.2¢No 16.8¢ - 14.3 %
16-19
$1.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 14.3¢No 85.7¢ - < 1 %
20-23
$398.36 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢ - < 1 %
<12
$491.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢ - < 1 %
24-27
$403.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
28-31
$346.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
32+
$166.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Tech · AI
- Series
- Waymo operate
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 7 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 99
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 9,827 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 7 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026 16:06 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.