"How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office
Live
- $6.1K
- $6.1K
- 74
- $5.5K
- $16.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- <7m84.5%
- 7m-9m12.5%
- 9m-11m2.5%
- 11m-13m2.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 6 open questions add up to 102.8¢.
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Movies
- Series
- Box Office Openings
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 6 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 196
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 8,123 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to how much "How to Rob a Bank" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15). This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "Weekend" figure for the movie's first weekend on the "Domestic Weekend" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page. If neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
This event has 6 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Nov 15, 2026 12:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 12, 2026 03:20 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.