MLS Cup Winner 2026
Live
- $149.4K
- $12.67M
- 13
- $294.1K
- $735.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC19.6%
- Nashville SC18.8%
- Inter Miami CF16.5%
- St. Louis City SC7.9%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
29 open · 1 settled · 1 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 19.6 %
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Yes 19.6¢No 80.4¢ - 18.8 %
Nashville SC
$153.68 traded, 24 h
Yes 18.8¢No 81.2¢ - 16.5 %
Inter Miami CF
Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢ - 7.9 %
St. Louis City SC
$62.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.9¢No 92.1¢ - 7.8 %
Philadelphia Union
$2.39 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.8¢No 92.2¢ - 5.5 %
Los Angeles FC
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.3 %
FC Dallas
Yes 5.3¢No 94.7¢ - 5.2 %
Chicago Fire FC
Yes 5.2¢No 94.8¢ - 4.3 %
Houston Dynamo FC
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.1 %
New England Revolution
Yes 4.1¢No 95.9¢
- 3.0 %
San Jose Earthquakes
$26.53 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢ - 2.8 %
Charlotte FC
$9.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢ - 2.1 %
Seattle Sounders FC
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - 1.8 %
FC Cincinnati
Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢ - 1.6 %
Orlando City SC
Yes 1.6¢No 98.4¢ - 1.1 %
New York Red Bulls
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - < 1 %
Colorado Rapids
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢ - < 1 %
Toronto FC
$0.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢ - < 1 %
LA Galaxy
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Columbus Crew
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
New York City FC
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
San Diego FC
$103.39 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Portland Timbers
$74.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
D.C. United
$74.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Atlanta United FC
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Austin FC
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
CF Montréal
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Minnesota United FC
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Real Salt Lake
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
1 more that never traded
1 settled
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · Soccer
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 3% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter v3
- Questions
- 29 open · 1 settled · 1 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 55
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 299,726 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 31 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
1 of the 31 have already settled No.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 20, 2026 15:06 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.