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Sports · BasketballNBA Finals

NBA: 2027 Champion

Live

$8.5K
$4.86M
46
$752.2K
$8.99M

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • San Antonio Spurs22.5%
  • Oklahoma City Thunder18.5%
  • New York Knicks12.5%
  • Philadelphia 76ers11.1%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

30 open · 6 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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6 more that never traded

Event facts

Category
Sports · Basketball
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
3% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
30 open · 6 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
214
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
193,588 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

Who is trading this event

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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Who is trading this event

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This event has 36 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 09:55 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.