Politics · Global electionsJoburg

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

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: $5.5K
: $74.5K
: 34
: $23.4K
: $13.6K

Where holders with a record are, by question

as of 01:24 UTC

29 wallets with a positive Politics record hold $50 or more on this event.

Helen Zille13.5¢
Yes 6 · $2.2K · paid 50.0¢No 8 · $4.5K · paid 58.9¢
Herman Mashaba40.0¢
Yes 2 · $289 · paid 38.4¢No 11 · $1.6K · paid 77.9¢
Lukhona Mnguni4.5¢
Yes noneNo none
Dada Morero3.1¢
Yes noneNo none
David Makhura3.1¢
Yes 1 · $55 · paid 7.5¢No 3 · $610 · paid 93.7¢
Frank Chikane0.8¢
Yes 2 · $164 · paid 27.6¢No 8 · $2.0K · paid 82.1¢

The 29 by name, each with its record, with a free account.

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Politics record beat the price paid by 1.36¢ a share (others −0.23¢; 74,448 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (3,821 markets). How we measured

Where holders with a record are, by question

as of 01:24 UTC

29 wallets with a positive Politics record hold $50 or more on this event.

Helen Zille13.5¢
Yes 6 · $2.2K · paid 50.0¢No 8 · $4.5K · paid 58.9¢
Herman Mashaba40.0¢
Yes 2 · $289 · paid 38.4¢No 11 · $1.6K · paid 77.9¢
Lukhona Mnguni4.5¢
Yes noneNo none
Dada Morero3.1¢
Yes noneNo none
David Makhura3.1¢
Yes 1 · $55 · paid 7.5¢No 3 · $610 · paid 93.7¢
Frank Chikane0.8¢
Yes 2 · $164 · paid 27.6¢No 8 · $2.0K · paid 82.1¢

The holders

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

Herman Mashaba40.0%
Helen Zille13.5%
Lukhona Mnguni4.5%
Dada Morero3.1%

Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

8 open · 34 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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34 more that never traded

Event facts

Category: Politics · Global elections
Structure: Exactly one question can win
Fee: 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
Resolution terms: Varies by question
Questions: 8 open · 34 never traded
Fills, last 24 h: 67
Polymarket-reported 24h volume: 10,586 shares

CreatedJun 9, 2026 23:43 UTC
Jun 9, 2026 23:57 UTC
First tradeJun 10, 2026 05:35 UTC
Event startNov 4, 2026 23:59 UTC
Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

Who is trading this event

How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This event has 42 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Nov 14, 2026 01:24 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.