Next NVIDIA CEO: internal or external?
Live
- $11.6K
- $15.6K
- 87
- $10.0K
- $22.1K
Where holders with a record are, by question
as of 01:20 UTC3 wallets with a positive Stocks record hold $50 or more on this event.
- External51.0¢Yes 1 · $90 · paid 45.0¢No 1 · $189 · paid 54.3¢
- No new permanent CEO7.0¢Yes noneNo 1 · $74 · paid 98.1¢
- Internal45.0¢Yes noneNo 1 · $174 · paid 49.7¢
Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Stocks record beat the price paid by 2.84¢ a share (others −0.40¢; 13,449 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (97 markets). How we measured
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 3 questions with the highest chance now.
- External51.0%
- Internal45.0%
- No new permanent CEO7.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
3 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 3 open questions add up to 103.0¢.
Event facts
- Category
- Stocks · Nvidia (NVDA)
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 3 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 275
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 23,171 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to whether the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is an internal or external candidate. A candidate is internal if, at the time of the announcement, they are an employee of NVIDIA Corporation or any of its subsidiaries, or a member of its Board of Directors. Any other candidate is external. If co-CEOs are announced, this market will resolve to "External" if any of them is an external candidate. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of NVIDIA. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If, before any successor is announced, NVIDIA officially announces that Jensen Huang will return as CEO on a non-interim basis, or if no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new permanent CEO". The resolution source will be public statements from NVIDIA Corporation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 3 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2029 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 14, 2026 01:20 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.