Next US Senate Minority Leader?
Live
- $11.2K
- $33.9K
- 96
- $23.8K
- $87.1K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- John Thune96.9%
- Rick Scott1.6%
- Tom Cotton1.5%
- John Barrasso1.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
9 open · 50 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 96.9 %
John Thune
$8.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 96.9¢No 3.1¢ - 1.6 %
Rick Scott
$316.47 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.6¢No 98.4¢ - 1.5 %
Tom Cotton
$537.69 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢ - 1.0 %
John Barrasso
$459.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢ - < 1 %
Mark Kelly
$544.47 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Patty Murray
$492.18 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Chuck Schumer
$179.82 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Brian Schatz
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Cory Booker
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
50 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Person AA
- No quote now
Person AB
- No quote now
Person AC
- No quote now
Person AD
- No quote now
Person AE
- No quote now
Person AF
- No quote now
Person AG
- No quote now
Person AH
- No quote now
Person AI
- No quote now
Person AJ
- No quote now
Person AK
- No quote now
Person AL
- No quote now
Person AM
- No quote now
Person AN
- No quote now
Person AO
- No quote now
Person AP
- No quote now
Person AQ
- No quote now
Person AR
- No quote now
Person AS
- No quote now
Person AT
- No quote now
Person AU
- No quote now
Person AV
- No quote now
Person AW
- No quote now
Person AX
- No quote now
Person AY
- No quote now
Person AZ
- No quote now
Person D
- No quote now
Person E
- No quote now
Person F
- No quote now
Person G
- No quote now
Person H
- No quote now
Person I
- No quote now
Person J
- No quote now
Person K
- No quote now
Person L
- No quote now
Person M
- No quote now
Person N
- No quote now
Person O
- No quote now
Person P
- No quote now
Person Q
- No quote now
Person R
- No quote now
Person S
- No quote now
Person T
- No quote now
Person U
- No quote now
Person V
- No quote now
Person W
- No quote now
Person X
- No quote now
Person Y
- No quote now
Person Z
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 9 open · 50 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 203
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 19,686 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 59 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 3, 2027 00:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 10, 2026 16:15 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.