Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Live
- $5.3K
- $46.0K
- 45
- $28.4K
- $55.5K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Matt Damon93.5%
- John Malkovich92.0%
- Andrew Scott86.0%
- Tom Cruise59.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
19 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 93.5 %
Matt Damon
Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢ - 92.0 %
John Malkovich
Yes 92.0¢No 8.0¢ - 86.0 %
Andrew Scott
$10.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢ - 59.0 %
Tom Cruise
$21.74 traded, 24 h
Yes 59.0¢No 41.0¢ - 45.5 %
Robert Pattinson
$761.56 traded, 24 h
Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢ - 43.5 %
John Turturro
$113.52 traded, 24 h
Yes 43.5¢No 56.5¢ - 41.0 %
Ryan Gosling
$39.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢ - 40.5 %
Anthony Ippolito
$46.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢ - 22.0 %
Timothée Chalamet
Yes 22.0¢No 78.0¢ - 19.2 %
Pedro Pascal
Yes 19.2¢No 80.8¢
- 14.5 %
Sebastian Stan
Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢ - 13.0 %
Jaafar Jackson
$134.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢ - 5.4 %
Adam Driver
Yes 5.4¢No 94.6¢ - 5.1 %
Javier Bardem
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢ - 5.1 %
Sam Rockwell
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢ - 5.0 %
Josh O'Connor
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 4.8 %
Brad Pitt
Yes 4.8¢No 95.2¢ - 3.3 %
Robert Aramayo
$4.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢ - 3.3 %
Jeremy Strong
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Movies
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 19 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 71
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 8,205 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 19 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Mar 15, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 15, 2026 21:20 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.