Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
Live
- $14.0K
- $50.0K
- 55
- $37.0K
- $83.1K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- The Odyssey97.2%
- La Bola Negra94.0%
- Wild Horse Nine91.0%
- Dune: Part Three86.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
22 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 97.2 %
The Odyssey
$9.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 97.2¢No 2.8¢ - 94.0 %
La Bola Negra
Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢ - 91.0 %
Wild Horse Nine
$4.97 traded, 24 h
Yes 91.0¢No 9.0¢ - 86.5 %
Dune: Part Three
$3.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 86.5¢No 13.5¢ - 82.5 %
The Debut
$35.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢ - 79.0 %
Project Hail Mary
$259.36 traded, 24 h
Yes 79.0¢No 21.0¢ - 74.0 %
You Can See Everything
$4.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢ - 58.0 %
The Invite
$163.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 58.0¢No 42.0¢ - 39.0 %
Fjord
$429.83 traded, 24 h
Yes 39.0¢No 61.0¢ - 37.0 %
I Play Rocky
Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢
- 36.5 %
All of a Sudden
Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢ - 30.5 %
Elsinore
$18.86 traded, 24 h
Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢ - 29.5 %
Obsession
$1.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢ - 21.0 %
Behemoth!
Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢ - 20.5 %
Digger
$3.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢ - 12.5 %
Michael
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢ - 10.0 %
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$3.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢ - 7.8 %
Avengers: Doomsday
$114.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.8¢No 92.2¢ - 6.9 %
Disclosure Day
$638.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.9¢No 93.1¢ - 4.8 %
Fatherland
Yes 4.8¢No 95.2¢ - 4.2 %
The Social Reckoning
$1.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.2¢No 95.8¢ - 3.5 %
The Drama
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Movies
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 22 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 166
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 24,785 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 22 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Mar 15, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 18, 2026 07:01 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.